Fairfield 
W-L: (12- 2) PR = 94.2085
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
207 H Lehigh Patriot ( 5-10, 94.1) 10- 7
215 A Brown Ivy ( 3-10, 93.0) 11- 5
219 H Sacred Heart MAAC (12- 3, 92.8) 13-12
222 H Manhattan MAAC ( 6- 9, 89.5) 8- 7
301 H Providence Big East ( 7- 8, 93.9) 15- 7
304 A St Johns Big East ( 4-11, 90.2) 20- 8
308 H Mass-Lowell America East ( 4- 9, 88.5) 19- 5
315 A Hampton CAA ( 0-15, 81.1) 29- 4
322 H Drexel CAA ( 7- 7, 91.8) 12-11
329 A Stony Brook CAA ( 7- 7, 92.4) 15-17
405 H Hofstra CAA ( 8- 6, 92.1) 14-10
412 A Delaware CAA ( 7- 6, 92.7) 13-10
419 A Towson CAA ( 9- 5, 93.6) 9-14
426 H Monmouth CAA ( 5- 9, 89.7) 14- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
207 H Lehigh 10- 7 3 1 + 2.02
215 A Brown 11- 5 6 0 ++ 4.67
219 H Sacred Heart 13-12 1 2 -1.32
222 H Manhattan 8- 7 1 6 -- -4.00
301 H Providence 15- 7 8 1 + 3.82
304 A St Johns 20- 8 12 3 1.80
308 H Mass-Lowell 19- 5 14 7 0.00
315 A Hampton 29- 4 25 12 0.00
322 H Drexel 12-11 1 3 - -2.29
329 A Stony Brook 15-17 -2 1 - -2.92
405 H Hofstra 14-10 4 3 1.05
412 A Delaware 13-10 3 1 + 2.40
419 A Towson 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.72
426 H Monmouth 14- 8 6 5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
222 H Manhattan 8- 7 1 6 -- -4.00
419 A Towson 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.72
322 H Drexel 12-11 1 3 - -2.29
329 A Stony Brook 15-17 -2 1 - -2.92
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
215 A Brown 11- 5 6 0 ++ 4.67
207 H Lehigh 10- 7 3 1 + 2.02
301 H Providence 15- 7 8 1 + 3.82
412 A Delaware 13-10 3 1 + 2.40
|
Fairfield PairWisePlus Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Air Force |
Fairfield |
|
 
| Fairfield |
| Albany |
Fairfield |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Fairfield |
| Army |
Army |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Army |
| Bellarmine |
Fairfield |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Fairfield |
| Binghamton |
Fairfield |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Fairfield |
| Boston Univ |
Boston Univ |
|
tied -  3- 0 |
Boston Univ |
| Brown |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| Bryant |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
| Bucknell |
Fairfield |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Fairfield |
| Canisius |
Fairfield |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Fairfield |
| Cleveland St |
Fairfield |
|
 
| Fairfield |
| Colgate |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Cornell |
Cornell |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Cornell |
| Dartmouth |
Dartmouth |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Dartmouth |
| Delaware |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| Denver |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Detroit |
Fairfield |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Fairfield |
| Drexel |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| Duke |
Duke |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Duke |
| Georgetown |
Georgetown |
|
tied -  3- 0 |
Georgetown |
| Hampton |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| Harvard |
Harvard |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Harvard |
| High Point |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Hobart |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Hofstra |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| Holy Cross |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
| Iona |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
| Jacksonville |
Fairfield |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Fairfield |
| JHU |
JHU |
|
JHU   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Lafayette |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Le Moyne |
Fairfield |
|
 
| Fairfield |
| Lehigh |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| LIU |
Fairfield |
|
 
| Fairfield |
| Loyola |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Manhattan |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| Marist |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Marquette |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Maryland |
Maryland |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Maryland |
| UMass |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Mass-Lowell |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| Mercer |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
| Mercyhurst |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Merrimack |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Michigan |
Michigan |
|
 
| Michigan |
| Monmouth |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| Mt St Marys |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Navy |
Fairfield |
|
tied -  1- 1 |
Fairfield |
| NJIT |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
| No Carolina |
No Carolina |
|
No Carolina   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Notre Dame |
Notre Dame |
|
 
| Notre Dame |
| Ohio State |
Ohio State |
|
 
| Ohio State |
| Penn |
Penn |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Penn |
| Penn State |
Penn State |
|
 
| Penn State |
| Princeton |
Princeton |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Princeton |
| Providence |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| Queens |
Fairfield |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Fairfield |
| Quinnipiac |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Richmond |
Richmond |
|
tied -  1- 0 |
Richmond |
| Rob Morris |
Fairfield |
|
 
| Fairfield |
| Rutgers |
Rutgers |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Rutgers |
| Sacred Heart |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
|
| Siena |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   3- 0 vs 2- 1 |
|
| St B'venture |
Fairfield |
|
 
| Fairfield |
| St Johns |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| St Josephs |
St Josephs |
|
tied -  4- 1 |
St Josephs |
| Stony Brook |
Stony Brook |
Stony Brook |
 
|
| Syracuse |
Syracuse |
|
Syracuse   2- 0 vs 1- 1 |
|
| Towson |
Towson |
Towson |
 
| |
| UMBC |
Fairfield |
|
tied -  2- 1 |
Fairfield |
| Utah |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| Vermont |
Fairfield |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Fairfield |
| Villanova |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   5- 0 vs 4- 1 |
|
| Virginia |
Virginia |
|
Virginia   1- 0 vs 0- 1 |
|
| VMI |
Fairfield |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Fairfield |
| Wagner |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   5- 0 vs 0- 5 |
|
| Yale |
Yale |
|
tied -  2- 0 |
Yale |
PairWisePlus = 52

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Lehigh ( 5-10, 94.1) 10- 7 -5.81 13.00 -0.86 1.02 12.43
0 A Brown ( 3-10, 93.0) 11- 5 -6.88 11.94 0.86 1.02 13.10
0 H Sacred Heart (12- 3, 92.8) 13-12 -7.15 11.66 -0.86 1.02 11.07
0 H Manhattan ( 6- 9, 89.5) 8- 7 -10.36 8.46 -0.86 1.02 7.78
0 H Providence ( 7- 8, 93.9) 15- 7 -6.01 12.80 -0.86 1.02 12.23
0 A St Johns ( 4-11, 90.2) 20- 8 -9.74 9.07 0.86 1.02 10.17
0 H Mass-Lowell ( 4- 9, 88.5) 19- 5 -11.40 7.41 -0.86 1.02 6.71
0 A Hampton ( 0-15, 81.1) 29- 4 -18.81 1.00 0.86 1.02 1.90
0 H Drexel ( 7- 7, 91.8) 12-11 -8.12 10.69 -0.86 1.02 10.07
0 A Stony Brook ( 7- 7, 92.4) 15-17 -7.47 11.35 0.86 1.02 -6.77
0 H Hofstra ( 8- 6, 92.1) 14-10 -7.78 11.03 -0.86 1.02 10.42
0 A Delaware ( 7- 6, 92.7) 13-10 -7.15 11.66 0.86 1.02 12.82
0 A Towson ( 9- 5, 93.6) 9-14 -6.27 12.54 0.86 1.02 -5.54
0 H Monmouth ( 5- 9, 89.7) 14- 8 -10.21 8.60 -0.86 1.02 7.93
------
104.33
|
winning pts = 116.6370 losing points = -12.3113
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------