Fairfield 
W-L: ( 4- 6) PR = 91.3535
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
206 A Lehigh PATRIOT ( 4- 5, 94.0) 14-13
214 H Brown IVY ( 5- 4, 92.6) 8-10
218 A Sacred Heart MAAC (10- 0, 92.4) 12-13
221 A Manhattan MAAC ( 2- 7, 86.7) 15- 9
228 A Providence BE ( 4- 7, 91.3) 8- 7
307 H Yale IVY ( 4- 4, 95.1) 14-15
310 H Dartmouth IVY ( 4- 5, 94.2) 10-16
314 H Hampton CAA ( 0- 8, 81.7) 26- 7
321 A Drexel CAA ( 5- 4, 92.2) 11-13
328 H Stony Brook CAA ( 4- 4, 91.8) 10-16
404 A Hofstra CAA ( 1- 7, 88.6)
411 H Holy Cross PATRIOT ( 5- 5, 90.3)
418 H Towson CAA ( 6- 3, 95.7)
425 A Monmouth CAA ( 5- 4, 89.5)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Lehigh 14-13 1 -4 ++ 4.51
214 H Brown 8-10 -2 0 -1.61
218 A Sacred Heart 12-13 -1 -2 0.82
221 A Manhattan 15- 9 6 4 1.15
228 A Providence 8- 7 1 -1 1.81
307 H Yale 14-15 -1 -3 1.95
310 H Dartmouth 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.00
314 H Hampton 26- 7 19 10 0.00
321 A Drexel 11-13 -2 -2 -0.29
328 H Stony Brook 10-16 -6 0 -- -5.34
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
328 H Stony Brook 10-16 -6 0 -- -5.34
310 H Dartmouth 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.00
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Lehigh 14-13 1 -4 ++ 4.51
|
Fairfield Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Air Force |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Fairfield |
| Albany |
Albany |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Albany |
| Army |
Army |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Army |
| Bellarmine |
Fairfield |
|
 
| Fairfield |
| Binghamton |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fairfield |
| Boston Univ |
Boston Univ |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Boston Univ |
| Brown |
Brown |
Brown |
 
| |
| Bryant |
Fairfield |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Fairfield |
| Bucknell |
Bucknell |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Bucknell |
| Canisius |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fairfield |
| Cleveland State |
Fairfield |
|
 
| Fairfield |
| Colgate |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
| Cornell |
Cornell |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Cornell |
| Dartmouth |
Dartmouth |
Dartmouth |
 
| |
| Delaware |
Delaware |
|
 
| Delaware |
| Denver |
Denver |
|
 
| Denver |
| Detroit Mercy |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Fairfield |
| Drexel |
Drexel |
Drexel |
 
| |
| Duke |
Duke |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Duke |
| Georgetown |
Georgetown |
|
 
| Georgetown |
| Hampton |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| Harvard |
Harvard |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Harvard |
| High Point |
High Point |
|
 
| High Point |
| Hobart |
Fairfield |
|
 
| Fairfield |
| Hofstra |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Fairfield |
| Holy Cross |
Fairfield |
|
Fairfield   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Iona |
Iona |
|
 
| Iona |
| Jacksonville |
Jacksonville |
|
 
| Jacksonville |
| Johns Hopkins |
Johns Hopkins |
|
 
| Johns Hopkins |
| Lafayette |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fairfield |
| Le Moyne |
Fairfield |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Fairfield |
| Lehigh |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| LIU |
Fairfield |
|
 
| Fairfield |
| Loyola |
Loyola |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Loyola |
| Manhattan |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| Marist |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fairfield |
| Marquette |
Marquette |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Marquette |
| Maryland |
Maryland |
|
 
| Maryland |
| Massachusetts |
Massachusetts |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Massachusetts |
| UMassLowell |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fairfield |
| Mercer |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Fairfield |
| Mercyhurst |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Fairfield |
| Merrimack |
Fairfield |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Fairfield |
| Michigan |
Michigan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Michigan |
| Monmouth |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Fairfield |
| Mt St Marys |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Fairfield |
| Navy |
Navy |
|
 
| Navy |
| NJIT |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fairfield |
| North Carolina |
North Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
North Carolina |
| Notre Dame |
Notre Dame |
|
 
| Notre Dame |
| Ohio State |
Ohio State |
|
 
| Ohio State |
| Pennsylvania |
Pennsylvania |
|
Pennsylvania   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Penn State |
Penn State |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Penn State |
| Princeton |
Princeton |
|
Princeton   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Providence |
Fairfield |
Fairfield |
 
| |
| Queens |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Fairfield |
| Quinnipiac |
Fairfield |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Fairfield |
| Richmond |
Richmond |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Richmond |
| Robert Morris |
Robert Morris |
|
 
| Robert Morris |
| Rutgers |
Rutgers |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Rutgers |
| Sacred Heart |
Sacred Heart |
Sacred Heart |
 
| |
| Siena |
Siena |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Siena |
| St Bonnies |
Fairfield |
|
 
| Fairfield |
| St Johns |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fairfield |
| St Josephs |
St Josephs |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
St Josephs |
| Stony Brook |
Stony Brook |
Stony Brook |
 
| |
| Syracuse |
Syracuse |
|
 
| Syracuse |
| Towson |
Towson |
|
Towson   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| UMBC |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fairfield |
| Utah |
Utah |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Utah |
| Vermont |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Fairfield |
| Villanova |
Villanova |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Villanova |
| Virginia |
Virginia |
|
Virginia   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| VMI |
Fairfield |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Fairfield |
| Wagner |
Fairfield |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Fairfield |
| Yale |
Yale |
Yale |
 
| |
PowerWise = 33

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.81
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Lehigh ( 4- 5, 94.0) 14-13 -5.85 12.35 0.82 0.88 11.59
0 H Brown ( 5- 4, 92.6) 8-10 -7.34 10.86 -0.82 0.88 -7.18
0 A Sacred Heart (10- 0, 92.4) 12-13 -7.54 10.66 0.82 0.88 -5.92
0 A Manhattan ( 2- 7, 86.7) 15- 9 -13.22 4.98 0.82 0.88 5.11
0 A Providence ( 4- 7, 91.3) 8- 7 -8.55 9.64 0.82 0.88 9.21
0 H Yale ( 4- 4, 95.1) 14-15 -4.78 13.42 -0.82 0.88 -4.93
0 H Dartmouth ( 4- 5, 94.2) 10-16 -5.73 12.47 -0.82 0.88 -5.76
0 H Hampton ( 0- 8, 81.7) 26- 7 -18.20 1.00 -0.82 0.88 0.16
0 A Drexel ( 5- 4, 92.2) 11-13 -7.66 10.54 0.82 0.88 -6.02
0 H Stony Brook ( 4- 4, 91.8) 10-16 -8.07 10.13 -0.82 0.88 -7.82
------
-11.57
|
winning pts = 26.0722 losing points = -37.6425
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------